Multicriteria geolocation for new urban areas: A case study in three cities of Peru
Article Main
Abstract
Urbanization, driven by the population's basic needs and regional geography, can lead to uncontrolled expansion. Therefore, multicriteria geolocation is proposed as an effective tool to identify areas that promote sustainable urban development. The objective of the research was to propose sustainable urban soils based on multicriteria soil types, focusing on the selection of three cities in Junín (Chanchamayo, Tarma and Jauja), Peru. A multicriteria analysis was employed, integrating eight edaphological criteria and the Fuzzy Logit method to manage the uncertainties inherent in geospatial data and calculate fuzzy weights to estimate the probability of urban areas. The results indicated that predominant areas, such as alluvial cones, intrusive rock hills, and extensive vegetation cover, were considered possible zones for urbanization, suggesting that the weights assigned to urbanization varied according to the edaphological criteria and their sub-criteria. The city of Tarma demonstrated notable suitability for urbanization, with 14.54% of its territory showing a probability of urbanization of 0.9; in comparison, Chanchamayo achieved a suitability of 89.22% of its territory, with a probability of urbanization of 0.75, while Jauja stood out as the city with the lowest suitability for urbanization. The application of Fuzzy logistics revealed that the probability of suitability for urbanization in Tarma, Chanchamayo, and Jauja was related to the size of the areas, showing that larger zones had a higher probability of being suitable for urban development.
Article Details
Article Details
Keywords
Edaphological areas, Urbanization probability, Urbanization suitability, Weights of the criteria
References
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Madurika H. (2017). GIS based analysis for suitability location finding in the residential development areas of greater matara region demarcation of GN divisions’ boundary of Sri Lanka View project tsunami housing reconstruction project view project GIs based analysis for su. Article in International Journal of Scientific & Technology Research, 6(02), 96.
Mallick, J., Ibnatiq, A. A., Kahla, N. Ben, Alqadhi, S., Singh, V. P., Hoa, P. V., Hang, H. T., Hong, N. Van& Le, H. A. (2022). GIS-based decision support system for safe and sustainable building construction site in a mountainous region. Sustainability (Switzerland), 14(2), 1–33. https://doi.org/10.3390/su14020888
Masoumi, Z.& Genderen, J. V. (2019). Investigation of sustainable urban development direction using geographic information systems (Case study: Zanjan City). The International Archives of the Photogrammetry, Remote Sensing and Spatial Information Sciences, XLII(June), 1313–1320. https://doi.org/10.5194/isprs-archives-XLII-2-W13-1313-2019
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Mecca, B. (2023). Assessing the sustainable development: A review of multicriteria decision analysis for urban and architectural sustainability. Journal of Multicriteria Decision Analysis, 30(5–6), 203–218. https://doi.org/10.1002/mcda.1818
Ministerio del Ambiente (MINAM) (2016). Instrumentos Técnico normativos del ordenamiento territorial. In MINAM (Ed.), Ministerio del Ambiente – MINAM (MINAM,). MINAM. https://www.minam.gob.pe/ordenamientoterritorial/wp-content/uploads/sites/18/2013/10/Instrumentos_Te cnicos_Normativos_OT.pdf
Ministry of Environment & Forests. (2010). Environmental impact assessment guidance manual for building, Construction, Townships and Area Development. Government of India, New Delhi, February, 1–225.
Moradi, B., Akbari, R., Taghavi, S. R., Fardad, F., Esmailzadeh, A., Ahmadi, M. Z., Attarroshan, S., Nickravesh, F., Jokar Arsanjani, J., Amirkhani, M.& Martek, I. (2023). A Scenario-based spatial multicriteria decision-making system for urban environment quality assessment: case study of Tehran. Land, 12(9), 1–24. https://doi.org/10.3390/land12091659
Nahib, I., Suryanta, J., Niedyawati, Kardono, P., Turmudi, Lestari, S.& Windiastuti, R. (2018). Integration of logistic regression and multicriteria land evaluation to simulation establishment of sustainable paddy field zone in Indramayu Regency, West Java Province, Indonesia. IOP Conference Series: Earth and Environmental Science, 149(1), 1–12. https://doi.org/10.1088/1755-1315/149/1/012005
Nong, Y.& Du, Q. (2011). Urban growth pattern modeling using logistic regression. Geo-Spatial Information Science, 14(1), 62–67. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11806-011-0427-x
Puente-Sotomayor, F., Mustafa, A.& Teller, J. (2021). Landslide susceptibility mapping of urban areas: Logistic regression and sensitivity analysis applied to Quito, Ecuador. Geoenvironmental Disasters, 8(1), 1–26. https://doi.org/10.1186/s40677-021-00184-0
Rahman, M. M.& Szabó, G. (2022). Sustainable urban land-use optimization using GIS-based multicriteria decision-making (GIS-MCDM) approach. ISPRS International Journal of Geo-Information, 11(5), 1–22. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijgi11050313
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Saha, A.& Roy, R. (2021). An integrated approach to identify suitable areas for built-up development using GIS-based multicriteria analysis and AHP in Siliguri planning area, India. SN Applied Sciences, 3(4), 1–17. https://doi.org/10.1007/s42452-021-04354-5
Şatir, O. (2016). Mapping the land-use suitability for urban sprawl using remote sensing and GIS under different scenarios. Sustainable Urbanization, 14 March, 205–226. https://doi.org/10.5772/63051
van Maarseveen, M., Martinez, J.& Flacke, J. (2018). GIS in sustainable urban planning and management: A global perspective. In Taylor & Francis Group (Ed.), GIS in sustainable urban planning and management (Taylor & F). Taylor & Francis Group. https://doi.org/10.1201/978 1315146638
Weith, T., Barkmann, T., Gaasch, N., Rogga, S., Strauß, C.& Zscheischler, J. (2021). Sustainable land management in a European context: A co-design approach. In springer (Ed.), Human-Environment Interactions 8 (Springer, ). Springer Nature. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-50841-8
Zhu, J., Zhang, Y., Zhang, J., Chen, Y., Liu, Y.& Liu, H. (2023). Multicriteria Seismic risk assessment based on combined weight-TOPSIS model and CF-logistic regression model—A case study of Songyuan City, China. Sustainability (Switzerland), 15(14), 1–28. https://doi.org/10.3390/su151411216
Akyol, E., Alkan, M., Kaya, A., Tasdelen, S.& Aydin, A. (2018). Environmental urbanization assessment using GIS and multicriteria decision analysis: A case study for Denizli (Turkey) Municipal Area. Advances in Civil Engineering, 2018, 1–8. https://doi.org/10.1155/2018/6915938
Al-Ghorayeb, A., Al-Shaar, W., Elkordi, A., Faour, G., Al-Shaar, M.& Attalah, Y. (2023). Land suitability analysis for sustainable urban development: A Case of Nabatiyeh Region in Lebanon. Multidisciplinary Scientific Journal, 6(2), 267–285. https://doi.org/10.3390/j6020020
Chan, K. Y., Kwong, C. K.& Dillon, T. S. (2012). An enhanced fuzzy AHP method with extent analysis for determining importance of customer requirements. Comput. Intell. Techniques for New Product Design, Wright 1998, 79–93. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-27476-3_4
Chang, D. Y. (1996). Applications of the extent analysis method on fuzzy AHP. European Journal of Operational Research, 95(3), 649–655. https://doi.org/10.1016/0377-2217(95)00300-2
Comicion Permanente del Congreso de la Republica. (2002). Ley de demarcación y organización territorial: LEY No 27795. MINAM, 1(9), 1–10. https://www.minam.gob.pe/wp-content/uploads/2017/04/Ley-N°-27795.pdf
Criado, M., Martínez-Graña, A., Santos-Francés, F., Veleda, S.& Zazo, C. (2017). Multicriteria analyses of urban planning for city expansion: A case study of Zamora, Spain. Sustainability (Switzerland), 9(10), 1–18. https://doi.org/10.3390/su9101850
Fernandez, T.& Schroeder, S. (2023). GIS for sustainable urban transformation in countries with emerging economies: The case of Piura in Peru. International Journal of E-Planning Research, 12(1), 1–20. https://doi.org/10.4018/IJEPR.319733
Gelan, E. (2021). GIS-based multicriteria analysis for sustainable urban green spaces planning in emerging towns of Ethiopia: the case of Sululta town. Environmental Systems Research, 10(1), 1–14. https://doi.org/10.1186/s40068-021-00220-w
Getu, K.& Gangadhara Bhat, H. (2024). Application of geospatial techniques and binary logistic regression model for analyzing driving factors of urban growth in Bahir Dar city, Ethiopia. Heliyon, 10(3), e25137. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.heliyon.2024.e25137
Hossain, M. S., Chowdhury, S. R., Das, N. G., Sharifuzzaman, S. M.& Sultana, A. (2009). Integration of GIS and multicriteria decision analysis for urban aquaculture development in Bangladesh. Landscape and Urban Planning, 90(3–4), 119–133. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.landurbplan.2008.10.020
Jankowski, P.& Richard, L. (1994). Integration of GIS-based suitability analysis and multicriteria evaluation in a spatial decision support system for route selection. Environment & Planning B: Planning & Design, 21(3), 323–340. https://doi.org/10.1068/b210323
Jeong, J. S., García-Moruno, L.& Hernández-Blanco, J. (2012). Integrating buildings into a rural landscape using a multicriteria spatial decision analysis in GIS-enabled web environment. Biosystems Engineering, 112(2), 82–92. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.biosystemseng.2012.03.002
Kara, C.& Akçit, N. (2021). The multicriteria analysis for sustainable urban growth by using Fuzzy Method: case study Trikomo, Cyprus. AIMS Geosciences, 7(4), 623–636. https://doi.org/10.3934/geosci.2021038
Karimimoshaver, M., Hajivaliei, H., Shokri, M., Khalesro, S., Aram, F.& Shamshirband, S. (2020). A model for locating tall buildings through a visual analysis approach. Applied Sciences (Switzerland), 10(17), 1–25. https://doi.org/10.3390/app10176072
Kolkos, G., Stergiadou, A., Kantartzis, A., Tampekis, S.& Arabatzis, G. (2023). Effects of forest roads and an assessment of their disturbance of the natural enviroment based on GIS spatial multicriteria analysis: case study of the University Forest of Taxiarchis, Chalkidiki, Greece. Euro-Mediterranean Journal for Environmental Integration, 8(2), 425–440. https://doi.org/10.1007/s41207-023-00362-6
Liladhar Rane, N., Achari, A., Hashemizadeh, A., Phalak, S., Pande, C. B., Giduturi, M., Khan, M. Y. A., Tolche, A. D., Tamam, N., Abbas, M.& Yadav, K. K. (2023). Identification of sustainable urban settlement sites using interrelationship based multi-influencing factor technique and GIS. Geocarto International, 38(1), 1-28. https://doi.org/10.1080/10106049.2023.2272670
Luo, T., Tan, R., Kong, X.& Zhou, J. (2019). Analysis of the driving forces of urban expansion based on a modified logistic regression model: A case study of Wuhan City, Central China. Sustainability (Switzerland), 11(8), 1–21. https://doi.org/10.3390/su11082207
Madurika H. (2017). GIS based analysis for suitability location finding in the residential development areas of greater matara region demarcation of GN divisions’ boundary of Sri Lanka View project tsunami housing reconstruction project view project GIs based analysis for su. Article in International Journal of Scientific & Technology Research, 6(02), 96.
Mallick, J., Ibnatiq, A. A., Kahla, N. Ben, Alqadhi, S., Singh, V. P., Hoa, P. V., Hang, H. T., Hong, N. Van& Le, H. A. (2022). GIS-based decision support system for safe and sustainable building construction site in a mountainous region. Sustainability (Switzerland), 14(2), 1–33. https://doi.org/10.3390/su14020888
Masoumi, Z.& Genderen, J. V. (2019). Investigation of sustainable urban development direction using geographic information systems (Case study: Zanjan City). The International Archives of the Photogrammetry, Remote Sensing and Spatial Information Sciences, XLII(June), 1313–1320. https://doi.org/10.5194/isprs-archives-XLII-2-W13-1313-2019
Ministerio de Vivienda, Construcción y Saneamiento (MCVs) (2006). Reglamento nacional de edificaciones: Decreto supremo No 011-2006-VIVIENDA. Sencico, Ministerio de Vivienda, Construcción y Saneamiento (MCVs), 1(2), 1–439.
Mecca, B. (2023). Assessing the sustainable development: A review of multicriteria decision analysis for urban and architectural sustainability. Journal of Multicriteria Decision Analysis, 30(5–6), 203–218. https://doi.org/10.1002/mcda.1818
Ministerio del Ambiente (MINAM) (2016). Instrumentos Técnico normativos del ordenamiento territorial. In MINAM (Ed.), Ministerio del Ambiente – MINAM (MINAM,). MINAM. https://www.minam.gob.pe/ordenamientoterritorial/wp-content/uploads/sites/18/2013/10/Instrumentos_Te cnicos_Normativos_OT.pdf
Ministry of Environment & Forests. (2010). Environmental impact assessment guidance manual for building, Construction, Townships and Area Development. Government of India, New Delhi, February, 1–225.
Moradi, B., Akbari, R., Taghavi, S. R., Fardad, F., Esmailzadeh, A., Ahmadi, M. Z., Attarroshan, S., Nickravesh, F., Jokar Arsanjani, J., Amirkhani, M.& Martek, I. (2023). A Scenario-based spatial multicriteria decision-making system for urban environment quality assessment: case study of Tehran. Land, 12(9), 1–24. https://doi.org/10.3390/land12091659
Nahib, I., Suryanta, J., Niedyawati, Kardono, P., Turmudi, Lestari, S.& Windiastuti, R. (2018). Integration of logistic regression and multicriteria land evaluation to simulation establishment of sustainable paddy field zone in Indramayu Regency, West Java Province, Indonesia. IOP Conference Series: Earth and Environmental Science, 149(1), 1–12. https://doi.org/10.1088/1755-1315/149/1/012005
Nong, Y.& Du, Q. (2011). Urban growth pattern modeling using logistic regression. Geo-Spatial Information Science, 14(1), 62–67. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11806-011-0427-x
Puente-Sotomayor, F., Mustafa, A.& Teller, J. (2021). Landslide susceptibility mapping of urban areas: Logistic regression and sensitivity analysis applied to Quito, Ecuador. Geoenvironmental Disasters, 8(1), 1–26. https://doi.org/10.1186/s40677-021-00184-0
Rahman, M. M.& Szabó, G. (2022). Sustainable urban land-use optimization using GIS-based multicriteria decision-making (GIS-MCDM) approach. ISPRS International Journal of Geo-Information, 11(5), 1–22. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijgi11050313
Ramadan, M. S.& Effat, H. A. (2021). Geospatial modeling for a sustainable urban development zoning map using AHP in Ismailia Governorate, Egypt. Egyptian Journal of Remote Sensing and Space Science, 24(2), 191–202. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejrs.2021.01.003
Saha, A.& Roy, R. (2021). An integrated approach to identify suitable areas for built-up development using GIS-based multicriteria analysis and AHP in Siliguri planning area, India. SN Applied Sciences, 3(4), 1–17. https://doi.org/10.1007/s42452-021-04354-5
Şatir, O. (2016). Mapping the land-use suitability for urban sprawl using remote sensing and GIS under different scenarios. Sustainable Urbanization, 14 March, 205–226. https://doi.org/10.5772/63051
van Maarseveen, M., Martinez, J.& Flacke, J. (2018). GIS in sustainable urban planning and management: A global perspective. In Taylor & Francis Group (Ed.), GIS in sustainable urban planning and management (Taylor & F). Taylor & Francis Group. https://doi.org/10.1201/978 1315146638
Weith, T., Barkmann, T., Gaasch, N., Rogga, S., Strauß, C.& Zscheischler, J. (2021). Sustainable land management in a European context: A co-design approach. In springer (Ed.), Human-Environment Interactions 8 (Springer, ). Springer Nature. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-50841-8
Zhu, J., Zhang, Y., Zhang, J., Chen, Y., Liu, Y.& Liu, H. (2023). Multicriteria Seismic risk assessment based on combined weight-TOPSIS model and CF-logistic regression model—A case study of Songyuan City, China. Sustainability (Switzerland), 15(14), 1–28. https://doi.org/10.3390/su151411216
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Multicriteria geolocation for new urban areas: A case study in three cities of Peru. (2025). Journal of Applied and Natural Science, 17(4), 1607-1618. https://doi.org/10.31018/jans.v17i4.6328
